A rolling ninety day window: June 1 through August 31, 2026. Inventory current as of September 16, 2026.

Olde Carlsbad covers the older streets inland of the village, where lots run larger and the housing stock is mostly single story homes from the 1950s through the 1970s.

How this is measured, before the numbers

These figures cover the three complete months from June 1 through August 31, 2026 rather than August on its own, and they are compared with the identical three months a year earlier. A single month in a market this size swings on a handful of closings, which makes it a poor guide to where prices actually are. The median is taken from the whole pool of 59 sales in the window, not averaged from three monthly medians. Of those 59 sales, 13 closed in August 2026.

June 1 through August 31, 2026 in numbers

All figures from the September 16, 2026 pull. Sales and inventory come from the same pull.

MeasureJune 1 through August 31, 2026June 1 through August 31, 2025
Homes sold5940
Median price$1,670,000$1,622,500
Median price per square foot$879$810
Median days on market1722
Sale to list price100.0%99.5%
Percent of original asking price99.1%96.3%
Closed at or above asking57.6%45.0%
Took a price reduction30.5%40.0%

The median across the window was $1,670,000, up 2.9 percent against the same three months a year earlier. Price per square foot was $879, up 8.5 percent. The two measures disagree, so the mix of homes that sold changed. Read the price per square foot as the measure of value and the median as a description of what happened to close.

Homes took a median 17 days on market across the window, against 22 days in the same three months a year earlier. Sellers collected a median 100.0 percent of their final asking price and 99.1 percent of their original.

Over the full twelve months through August 2026, the median across 198 sales was $1,612,500, up 0.9 percent against the twelve months before it. The ninety day window shows where the market has been lately; the twelve month figure shows the longer trend.

Inventory as of September 16, 2026

There were 30 homes for sale and 21 in escrow. Against a closing pace of 16.5 sales a month over the previous twelve months, that is 1.8 months of supply. At that level a well priced home does not stay on the market long. Inventory is a point in time rather than a window, so this snapshot is dated and belongs to this post only.

What the numbers say

Closings at or above asking came to 57.6 percent across the window, against 1.8 months of supply. Correctly priced homes are not sitting, and the reductions are concentrated in listings that opened above what the comparable sales supported.

The national rate backdrop

Nationally, the Freddie Mac thirty year fixed average barely moved through August, reading 6.69 percent on the sixth, 6.67 on the thirteenth, 6.65 on the twentieth and 6.66 on the twenty seventh. That is a four basis point range across the whole month. It is national context and not a reading of this market, and nothing above should be attributed to it.

Where to look next

Neighborhood pages for this market: Olde Carlsbad, Carlsbad real estate, South Carlsbad west of I-5, Aviara.

Same month, other markets: Ocean Hills Country Club.

How these figures are put together

Every figure above is calculated from closed residential sales reported to the multiple listing service in Olde Carlsbad, from the pull dated September 16, 2026. The window is the three complete calendar months from June 1 through August 31, 2026, compared with June 1 through August 31, 2025. Medians are pooled from the individual sales in the window rather than averaged from monthly figures, because an average of medians is not a median and one unusual sale moves an average. Where the same home closed twice on two listings, it is counted once. Sale to list price is against the final asking price; percent of original asking price is shown separately. Active listings, pending sales and months of supply are a snapshot from the same pull and are dated above.

These are recently closed sales in the area and are not represented as transactions of The Lund Team. This is not an appraisal, a valuation, or financial advice.

Based on information from California Regional Multiple Listing Service, Inc. as of September 16, 2026 and/or other sources. All data, including all measurements and calculations of area, is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by broker of MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and verified for accuracy. Properties may or may not be listed by the office/agent presenting the information.

Tyson Lund · Broker · DRE #01385039
The Lund Team, Inc. · DRE #01394870

Posted by Tyson Lund on

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